Perhaps due to the change in location between Goodland KS and Tulsa OK, the
winds are significantly different for today's forecast.
The winds are now much stonger in the troposphere and lower stratosphere,
maximizing at about 40 m/s.
Winds in the middle stratosphere continue to be weak
(< 15 m/s).
A ~30 m/s jet exists at an altitude of about 68 km.
The winds at thunderstorm height are generally out of the SSW but then transition
counterclockwise all the way to W at an altitude of 40 km. Above 40 km there is
a general tendency for the winds to swing back to the east.
The N^2 structure is complex with four regions of increased stability in the
troposphere. The tropopause is the ambiguous but uppermost of the enhanced
stability retions lies at about 12.5 km.
Multiple regions of (relatively weak) enhanced stability may not be condusive
to shear instability.
Today I simulated a weaker thunderstorm with small vertical and horizontal
extent
Horizontal plane at 10.75 km
Horizontal plane at 30 km
Horizontal plane at 87 km
Zonal cross-section
Meridional cross-section
Weak waves exist at all azimuths and at all altitudes.
